IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Northwestern St.
Southland
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-6.9	#283
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	76.8	#30
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.0	#230

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.0	#306

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	4.5%	11.0%	4.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.6	15.2	15.6

.500 or above	26.7%	63.8%	26.3%
.500 or above in Conference	65.8%	86.1%	65.5%
Conference Champion	5.6%	14.0%	5.5%
Last Place in Conference	4.1%	0.2%	4.1%

First Four	2.2%	2.5%	2.2%
First Round	3.4%	9.4%	3.3%
Second Round	0.1%	0.8%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Texas Tech (Away) - 1.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 6
Quad 3	1 - 4	1 - 10
Quad 4	9 - 6	11 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 25, 2020	14	@ Texas Tech	L	63-88	1%
Nov 28, 2020	156	Texas Arlington	L	72-79	25%
Nov 29, 2020	109	@ Louisiana Tech	L	69-83	10%
Dec 01, 2020	278	Louisiana Monroe	W	74-71	60%
Dec 03, 2020	69	@ TCU	L	63-81	5%
Dec 18, 2020	98	@ Tulsa	L	65-80	9%
Dec 19, 2020	135	@ Missouri St.	L	72-84	15%
Dec 21, 2020	1	@ Gonzaga	L	70-99	1%
Dec 23, 2020	129	@ Washington St.	L	75-87	15%
Jan 02, 2021	339	@ Houston Baptist	W	95-90	66%
Jan 06, 2021	336	Incarnate Word	W	81-71	81%
Jan 09, 2021	306	@ McNeese St.	L	81-82	44%
Jan 13, 2021	234	Nicholls St.	W	80-79	52%
Jan 20, 2021	136	@ Stephen F. Austin	L	75-87	16%
Jan 23, 2021	319	@ SE Louisiana	W	83-82	51%
Jan 27, 2021	312	New Orleans	W	84-79	67%
Jan 30, 2021	285	@ Central Arkansas	L	84-87	41%
Feb 06, 2021	339	Houston Baptist	W	98-87	82%
Feb 10, 2021	336	@ Incarnate Word	W	78-74	64%
Feb 13, 2021	306	McNeese St.	W	84-79	64%
Feb 17, 2021	234	@ Nicholls St.	L	77-82	33%
Feb 24, 2021	136	Stephen F. Austin	L	78-84	31%
Feb 27, 2021	319	SE Louisiana	W	86-79	70%
Mar 03, 2021	312	@ New Orleans	L	81-82	48%
Mar 06, 2021	285	Central Arkansas	W	87-84	60%
Projected Record						10 - 15	9 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southland Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.1	0.6	1.5	1.9	1.2	0.2		5.6	1st
2nd										0.0	0.2	1.6	3.4	2.7	0.8	0.1			8.9	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.2	2.2	4.4	3.4	0.8	0.0				11.1	3rd
4th									0.1	1.9	5.0	3.4	0.8	0.0					11.2	4th
5th								0.1	1.3	4.6	4.1	1.0	0.1						11.1	5th
6th							0.0	0.9	4.4	4.2	1.0	0.0							10.5	6th
7th						0.0	0.4	3.2	4.8	1.3	0.0								9.7	7th
8th					0.0	0.2	2.0	4.5	1.9	0.1									8.7	8th
9th					0.1	1.3	3.7	2.0	0.2	0.0									7.2	9th
10th				0.0	0.6	2.5	2.6	0.4	0.0										6.1	10th
11th			0.0	0.4	1.7	2.0	0.4	0.0											4.6	11th
12th		0.0	0.4	1.1	1.3	0.5	0.0												3.4	12th
13th	0.0	0.4	0.7	0.6	0.2	0.0													2.0	13th

Total	0.0	0.4	1.2	2.2	3.9	6.5	9.0	10.9	12.8	12.3	12.5	10.6	8.3	5.0	2.7	1.3	0.2			Total

Southland Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
15-1	92.0%	1.2		0.8	0.4	0.0
14-2	69.4%	1.9		1.0	0.7	0.2	0.0
13-3	30.7%	1.5		0.5	0.7	0.3	0.1
12-4	7.6%	0.6		0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
11-5	0.6%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-6	0.0%	0.0							0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	5.6%	5.6		2.6	2.0	0.7	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.2%		50.7%	50.7%		14.2														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
15-1	1.3%		33.3%	33.3%		14.9													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.9
14-2	2.7%		25.4%	25.4%		15.2														0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	2.1
13-3	5.0%		17.3%	17.3%		15.6															0.0	0.3	0.6	4.2
12-4	8.3%		11.9%	11.9%		15.8															0.0	0.2	0.8	7.3
11-5	10.6%		7.0%	7.0%		15.9														0.0		0.1	0.7	9.8
10-6	12.5%		3.0%	3.0%		16.0																0.0	0.4	12.1
9-7	12.3%		1.2%	1.2%		16.0																	0.2	12.2
8-8	12.8%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	12.7
7-9	10.9%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	10.9
6-10	9.0%																							9.0
5-11	6.5%																							6.5
4-12	3.9%																							3.9
3-13	2.2%																							2.2
2-14	1.2%																							1.2
1-15	0.4%																							0.4
0-16	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		4.5%	4.5%	0.0%	15.6													0.0	0.1	0.3	1.0	3.1	95.5		0.0%